Wage Inflation’s Impact On Workers’ Compensation

Author, Casey Craig, Account Executive, Rancho Mesa Insurance Services, Inc.

Following up on a great article by fellow construction team member Kevin Howard, about anticipated wage threshold increases coming in 2022, I wanted to highlight the building problems resulting from substantial hourly wage increases.

I specialize in painting, drywall and plastering contractors and have been asking my clients over the past few months about the health of their business and any new challenges. The most common answer: there is a substantial amount of work to bid on, but a labor shortage limits the possibility of growth.

Paying an employee higher wages creates new issues. Employees tend to inform co-workers when they get a raise. Employees may also try to leverage another company’s higher wage into a raise. The combination of a labor shortage and overpaying employees may result in hyperinflation, leading these employees to believe their value has skyrocketed.

Tying back into Kevin’s article, it is easy to see why these thresholds need to be increased. The wage threshold is meant to separate historically safer employees from newer employees who are less safety conscious. These increases in payroll are pushing less skilled employees into the higher wage category, resulting very likely in higher claim frequency as they are historically less experienced and safety conscious on the jobsite. This is leading to a smaller gap in workers’ compensation rates between the above and below class codes for each industry.

For example, a painter had a separation of 56% from 5474 to 5482 (painters making above or below $28) for their 2021 renewal. For 2022, they are only looking at a 46% difference. From the carrier perspective, more losses are expected in the 5482 (above $28) than the previous year, leading to a rate increase in that class code. I wish I could say that this was industry specific, but from conversations with multiple underwriters, most industries are dealing with these same employment issues and have struggled to find meaningful solutions.

It is possible these dual wage threshold increases will help restore balance by bringing the less skilled employees back into the proper class code, securing the lower rates in the over class code. Employers have shared that these threshold increases are hurting them, but should assist with workers’ comp savings for the truly elite seasoned workers. Carriers have these thresholds to help you differentiate experience from inexperience.

This is a developing issue that we are trying to stay ahead of. The time is now to meet with someone who specializes in your industry and help you formulate a strategy for 2022 to mitigate these impacts and improve your profitably. To schedule a time to talk or meet with me or you can call me directly at 619-438-6900.